There
was a Major League baseball season last year, but not much of one. Because of
covid they played 60 regular-season games instead of the usual 162, barred spectators
from the stadiums and staged the postseason in “bubbles.” The statistical
records, the sport’s lifeblood, were reduced to oddities. What could you make
of a campaign in which 22 home runs, 60 RBIs and eight mound wins led
leagues? Seeing such numbers, a future
fan most likely will just shrug and move on.
In
another sense, though, last year’s stats were important because they confirmed
multi-year trends that could only be called troubling for the National Pastime.
Strikeouts were up on average and home runs challenged recent highs. Batting
averages were down and stolen bases continued to be regarded as relics of
bygone eras. The fans, clustered around their TV sets at home, were restive. Attendance had declined annually in each of
the previous four seasons and a 2020 upturn would have surprised, had it been
possible.
The game
has taken note and has mulled changes that could lead to more action on the
field. Alas, aside from starting extra innings with a runner on second base (a
plus!), nothing of importance will go into effect during the new season that
begins today. A number of things are
being tried in various minor leagues, most notably a rule that pitchers must
step off the rubber before attempting a pickoff throw (to encourage base
stealing), but the gap between the Bigs and the Class A league in which this
one is being tried is large. Baseball doesn’t change easily and this should be
no exception.
The
causes of baseball’s turgidity are well known, but not all can be corrected or
even addressed. One, perhaps oddly, is the trend toward bigger and stronger
athletes at all positions, but especially pitching. Time was that a 95 mph
fastball was remarkable, but today every team can trot out a half dozen
pitchers who can hit that mark or higher routinely. Improvements in coaching at
every level have enabled hurlers to be more refined as well as stronger, and
that isn’t going to change.
Another
is the go-for-broke philosophy that governs many (most?) hitters’ approach to
their at-bats. It’s a baseball cliche that chicks dig the long ball, but
general managers do, too, especially at contract time. Until those two groups
change their minds today’s bigger, stronger, fitter hitters will continue to flail
for the fences at every opportunity, strikeouts be damned.
Lastly,
as much as it chafes traditionalists, the statistical focus called “analytics”
is here to stay and pitching and defense will continue to be its main
beneficiaries. The numbers crunched from every diamond action are behind what is
thrown to whom and where fielders are stationed. Hitters can benefit from
knowing pitchers’ tendencies, but the game’s central fact—that it’s really,
really tough to hit a well-pitched ball— remains unchanged.
By me,
though, three changes that are less than revolutionary could tilt the game’s
balance in favor of more hits and runs, and, therefore, more action. The first
is going to happen anyway so it might as well be sooner rather than later: MAKE
THE DESIGNATED HITTER UNIVERSAL.
That was done last season to
accommodate the increased inter-league play that accompanied regional scheduling
groupings, but the change was erased for this one. Whatever argument against
the DH that existed when the American League adopted it in 1973 has long been
resolved on the ground; every organized baseball league from kids up now uses
it. The main reason the National League holds out is because it's a bargaining
chip for the owners at contract time. Look for it to be in play in the contract
talks that begin after this season.
The
second change might be a bit more controversial: REQUIRE TWO FIELDERS TO BE ON
EACH SIDE OF SECOND BASE BEFORE EVERY PITCH, thus eliminating hit-choking
overshifts. Yes, the free positioning of players is a baseball tradition, but
limits on it exist in other sports; football mandates that there be seven
offensive players on the line of scrimmage before every ball snap, and basketball and hockey don’t permit players to lurk around an opponent’s goal when the ball
or puck is in the other end. This change could be accomplished with a flick of
a pen.
My third
change would require some pick-and-shovel work on the diamonds: LOWER THE
PITCHING MOUND. That was what the game did in 1969 to counteract a hits drought
in which pitchers like Bob Gibson, Luis Tiant and Sam McDowell were posting
sub-2 ERAs. That year mound heights were dropped from their longtime 15 inches to 10 inches. It
worked, with overall averages climbing from .237 in 1968 (they were .245 last
year) to .248 in ’69 and .254 in ’70. This
time let’s drop them to, say, six inches.
A little
basic geometry explains how this would help hitters: lowering the mound
would reduce pitchers’ leverage and flatten their deliveries. One reason
pitchers are throwing harder these days is that they’re taller on average than
they used to be; ones under six-feet tall are rare and those over 6-feet-4 are
common. Lowering the mound would cut them down in size.
Baseball
also is casting around for ways to speed games but proposals to do this, such
as instituting pitch clocks, only would nibble at the problem. A more-radical
reduction would come if all the catch-playing that goes on before and during
innings would be eliminated. In no other sport are players permitted to
practice in-game the way baseball players do.
Do pitchers really need six warmup
throws before an inning or when coming on in relief? Must infielders throw the
ball around between outs? Those guys have been playing catch since age six and
aren’t likely to forget how.
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