Major
League Baseball’s GEY (Great Experimental Year) is about half over, with mixed
results. The biggest change— the addition of a pitch clock—has been a success,
reducing average game times to two hours 38 minutes from 3:04 last year, all
from the elimination of dead time. Ditto for the new-found limits on pitchers’-mound
visits, which should be cut back further or eliminated altogether. Fewer
pitching twitches and, maybe, bigger bases have triggered an increase in stolen
bases, also good.
The
rest, not so much. Increasing offense was the second aim of the GEY, through
limits on infield shifts, but the effects of that have been minimal, the
all-game batting average for the season’s first half hitting .248, up just five
points from last year’s full-season mark. Virtually unchanged has been the
strikeout rate at 8.7 per team per game, against last season’s 8.8. For five
straight seasons strikeouts have exceeded hits in MLB, and this year should
make it six. Nobody’s cheering that.
The
continuing K epidemic probably is beyond rules jiggering. That’s because the
pitchers have gotten far ahead of the hitters, with no end in sight. Thanks
mostly to better coaching from the ground up, and to Tommy John surgery, which
has taken some of the risk out of throwing hard, today’s hurlers can put speed
on and do tricks with baseballs oldtimers could only dream of. Triple-digit deliveries used to be rare but
now they’re commonplace; breaking balls literally “fall off the table,” to use
the announcers’ cliché.
Batters
have not been exempt from blame for the strikeout siege. Since that cute Nike
TV commercial of 1991 declaring that “chicks dig the long ball,” home runs have
dominated the game’s offensive landscape, jumping from .8 a game in ’91 to a
high of 1.39 in 2019, a 73% increase. They’ve since tailed off a bit, but the
fact their numbers have stayed high despite improvements in pitching testifies
to the continuing desire of batters to hit them. While it might make sense to
choke up on the bat a bit, the better to put wood on the more-elusive pitches,
the batters’ mantra seems to continue to be swing for the seats, and strikeouts
be damned. Back in ’91, batters struck out at a rate of 17% of official times
at bat. Last year the rate was 25%.
So here
we are in 2023 and a “new” type of player has emerged. He’s the type whose
entire game is the long ball. I put “new” in quotes because guys like that long
have been around. The prototype is Reggie Jackson, who for 21 seasons (1967-87)
terrorized foes of, consecutively, the Oakland A’s, New York Yankees and Los Angeles
Angels, enroute to 563 career home runs and a Hall of Fame spot despite what
seemed like a lot of whiffs. In retrospect, though, Reggie was quite restrained
at the plate, striking out 26% of the time, just a jot higher than today’s
“everybody” average, and his lifetime BA of .262 is about 20 points higher than
today’s.
A couple
of current players stand out as exemplars of the all-or-nothing ethos. One is Joey
Gallo. A bearded giant, standing a listed 6-foot-5 and 250 pounds, he has
made a living in baseball despite a career .198 batting average over nine
seasons (2015 to the present) with the San Francisco Giants, Milwaukee Braves,
Los Angeles Dodgers and, now, the Minnesota Twins. He’s consistent in that
regard, not hitting more than a full-season .200 since 2019. He stood at .183
for ’23 at the All-Star Game break.
Gallo
has power, though, with 192 home runs to his credit. He’s at times been a
part-time player, so that figure might not be overly impressive, but it works
out to a robust 38 homers a season on a 162-game basis. But the other side of
his weighted ledger is equally wowing—228 strikeouts a year. It’s cold enough
in Minny without him fanning the breezes.
Based on
those numbers Gallo would get the “new guy” award, but he loses out because
he’s a good outfielder, having won Gold Gloves with the 2020 and ’21 Twins. The
other fellow I have in mind can make no such claim. He’s Kyle Schwarber of
the Philadelphia Phillies. After being drafted No. 4 in 2014 by the Chicago
Cubs, he came up in ‘15 as a catcher, his primary position at Indiana U. When
it quickly became apparent that wouldn’t work in the Bigs he was tried at first
base and left and right fields, with similar results. He now splits his time
between designated hitter and left field, the position where he can do the
least harm afield. He can catch a routine fly, and isn’t bad coming in on
balls, but is slow afoot and lost when one heads over his head. One thinks he
ought to wear his batting helmet out there.
At the
plate is where he earns his keep, a left-handed hitter cutting a Ruthian figure
at a thick-middled 6-feet tall and 230 pounds. His .228 lifetime BA isn’t terrible by current
standards but it’s headed south, reaching just .184 so far this season. His
home run totals are just fine, though, numbering 221 to date and working out to
a round 40 per 162-game average, which in the eyes of his employers
over-balances his strikeout rate of 185.
Unlike
most one-dimensional players, Schwarber has done well in the game’s honors
department, winning All-Star Game places in 2021 and ’22 and a starting spot on
the U.S. team that was runnerup (to Japan) in last year’s World Baseball
Classic. He won a World Series ring with the 2016 Cubs and helped the Phillies
to the 2022 Series. He’s being paid a reported $20 million this year and is on
the books for the same figure in 2024 and ’25, not bad for a fellow of 30.
Steve Jobs could have had Schwarber
in mind when he said “Do not try to do everything. Do one thing well.”
The trick, of course, is to find the right
thing.
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